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Home prices have dropped so
quickly and so far in the past 6 months that valuations (the
difference between what a home should cost and its actual
price) are the lowest they've been since 2004, according to
a report released just this week.
The Cleveland-based bank National City Corp. (NCC,
Fortune 500), together with financial analysis firm
Global Insight, revealed last week that more than 88% of
the 330 housing markets surveyed showed price declines and
improved affordability during the last three months of 2007.
"Housing valuations are almost
back to long-term norms," said National City's chief
economist, Richard DeKaser. He called current affordability
"the best in the past four years."
But DeKaser cautioned that home
prices could fall even further.
"This isn't to say home price
declines are over," he said. "We could move below historic
norms. By the end of 2008, housing markets could be broadly
under valued."
Price declines have continued
into 2008 and interest rates, although they have inched up
lately, have been steady or lower compared to late last
year. Soaring foreclosure rates have added inventory to many
housing markets, depressing home prices further.
The biggest gains in
affordability occurred in
California,
Michigan
and
Florida,
which are areas that have also been some of the hardest hit
by foreclosures. Those states registered 43 of the 50
biggest price declines.
Bend, Ore.
currently tops the overvaluation list. Home prices there
were judged to be about 59% higher than their fair-market
value.
Miami,
despite a median home price decline of 5.7% last year, is
the most overvalued big city, by 44%.
All the best bargains were found in
Louisiana
and
Texas.
Houses in Houma, La were under valued by 31.2%, according to
the report.
Dallas
was the most undervalued big city, by 30%.
My advice to anyone thinking of buying a home this year:
don’t hesitate in getting the ball started with your real
estate plans. With so many great deals available all over
town, now’s the best time to start doing whatever it takes
to ensure you’ll be in the best position to take advantage
of the best deals real estate has seen in 4 years.
Start working on your credit today, getting your finances in
order, and exploring your financing options. Since the real
estate market always goes up and down in cycles,
prices that are low right now, will definitely go back up in
the next few years.
The home you buy in 2008 for $150,000 could easily be worth
more than $200,000 once the market turns back around.
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